How Businesses Can Anticipate and Profit from What's Next
Author:
Eric Garland
ISBN:
9780814408971
Format:
Hardback
Price:
$24.95
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Overview
When you can see the future, you can profit from it.
"Foreword by Joseph Coates
In the next 50 years, new technologies, shifting global economics, and
many other factors will present innumerable changes for business and
society to navigate. Starting now, leaders need to be more flexible,
responsive, and decisive than ever before. Unfortunately, most people
are not trained in the type of critical thinking required to anticipate
what lies ahead. This groundbreaking book will change that.
Futuring is not a matter of tea leaves and crystal balls -- it is a
rigorous science based on time-tested analytical methods. Future, Inc.
translates the proven techniques of professional futurists into
accessible language and shows how to:
* identify what is and what isn't changing at a given time, and how
even small changes will affect whole businesses
* use forecasting -- not ""predictions"" -- to pinpoint tomorrow's
realities by looking at today's trends
* employ scenarios to test the validity of potential strategies
The author illustrates his advice with examples of companies whose
foresight has given them an unparalleled advantage and identifies
significant trends that will impact businesses in the future. Companies
can't afford to be caught unaware. In order to survive and succeed,
they need to look ahead. Future, Inc. provides the tools to
bring the future into focus."
About the Author
Eric Garland (Washington, DC) is a professional futurist. He is an
advisor to executives at top corporations and government agencies as an
expert in futures research and competitive intelligence. His dozens of
major clients include Ford, Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson, Siemens,
Wyeth, and Goodyear.
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Review Quotes
"... Cleverly illustrates both how to incorporate future planning
scenarios into business strategy development and the benefits of doing
so.?
-Competitive Intelligence Magazine
"Beyond amusement, the value of this book is usefulness as a guide to
evaluate trends that may evolve into opportunities.?
-Miami Herald
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Miami Herald Review
"Garland is imaginative but also a bit of a pragmatist in recognizing
the usual forces that exert themselves upon human behavior, and this
approach informs most of his work. Also, he's a good writer, so his
prognostications are presented in a pleasantly entertaining manner.
Beyond amusement, the value of this book is its usefulness as a guide to
evaluate trends that may evolve into opportunities….Garland provides an
interesting perspective from which to evaluate events and project their
possible future outcomes.?
-Miami Herald
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Table of Contents
"Foreword / v
Acknowledgments / vii
introduction: Today's Chaos; Tomorrow's Opportunity / 1
Part 1: Tools and Techniques / 11
1 Futurism: The Antidote to Chaos / 13
2 Systems Thinking: A Superhighway to Change / 23
3 Analyzing Trends: Real Change vs. Media Hype / 47
4 Into the Future: Making Judgments; Evaluating Forecasts / 75
5 Strategic Implications: What the Future Means to You / 86
6 Scenario Generation: Drawing a Picture of the Future / 103
7 Communicating the Future -- Even to the Skeptical / 124
Part 2: Drivers of the Future / 135
8 Aging: Preparing for a New Grey World / 137
9 Information Technology: Falling in Price, Increasing in Power / 155
10 Health Care: New Gadgets vs. Following Doctors' Orders / 168
11 Biotechnology: Scratching the Surface of the Secrets of Life / 184
12 Energy: Getting More out of Less / 197
13 Nanotechnologies: Smaller Is Better / 210
14 Media and Communications: Six Billion Channels for Six Billion People
/ 220
15 Ecology and Sustainability: Growth Can Be Good / 234
Epilogue: Where Do We Go from Here? / 248
Notes / 251
Index / 256"
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