NEW YORK, October 10, 2001Recessionary
pressures drove job cuts to historic highs even before the September 11
attacks on New York and Washington, according to American Management Associations
annual midyear staffing survey. For the first time since the 1990-91 recession,
more than half of major U.S. companies reported layoffs, with 58% of 1,631
surveyed businesses saying they eliminated jobs in the 12 months ending
June 30, 2001, the highest percentage in the surveys 15-year history.
The share of firms actually downsizingreporting a net
workforce reduction in the period was 36.3%, a dramatic rise from
the previous years 21.2%, while those reporting a net increase fell
to 42.3% from last years 53.0%. Overall, workforce growth averaged
just 0.4% after last years +5.9%, and billion-dollar firms shrank
their staffs by an average 0.9%.
More than a third of companies (36%) reported concurrent hiring and firing,
the same as last year, but firing took the upper hand as net staffing
in such firms decreased by an average 1.8% after last years
increase of 4.6%.
Despite the fact that the United States is in an economic slowdown,
it is worth noting that more companies created jobs than eliminated themalbeit
by far narrower margins than in the recent past, said Edward T.
Reilly, president and CEO of American Management Association.
Also, only one-fourth of surveyed companies cut jobs because of less demand
for their products and/or services, with a majority of layoffs ascribed
to structural changes or productivity gains.
While skilled workers are still in short supply, demand is easing considerably.
The survey found a dramatic increase in the share of HR managers who say
talent is adequate, rising to 45% from the previous years
19%. There was a concurrent drop in those who say it is scarce,
to 47% from last years 76%.
Production cutbacks tend to target hourly wage earners, while strategic
staffing changes tend to focus on supervisory and middle management. As
the rationales for hiring and firing changed in the latest survey period,
so did the mix of jobs created and eliminated.
Only at the administrative and clerical level did the share of job-cutting
companies outstrip the share reporting new hiring. Nevertheless, at every
level, there were fewer reports of staffing increases and more of cutbacks
than a year ago.
Departmentally, the turnaround from the previous years patterns
was most dramatic in manufacturing and in information systems, but the
reports of less hiring and more layoffs applied to every functional area.
As of midyear 2001, only 40 percent of respondent firms had plans to create
new jobs in the coming 12 months, while 26 percent had plans to eliminate
jobs. These are baseline numbers that change as the year plays out. Historically,
the share that actually cuts jobs is more than double the share that planned
cuts at the outset of the period. The reported figures, therefore, offer
a guideline, but economic and business events will change these forecasts.
American Management Associations annual survey on staffing and structure
is mailed midyear to human resources managers in AMA member and client
companies in the U.S. Together, these companies employ about one-fourth
of the American workforce. The 2001 respondent base of 1,631 firms presents
an accurate sampling of the membership and client base, but the results
do not mirror activity in the U.S. economy as a whole, where small firms
predominate. It should be read as a survey of major U.S. employers, most
of which employ more than 100 people and gross more than $10 million per
annum.
For a summary of the 2001 Staffing Study, please click here.
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